There is No Return to Normal for the US Economy

According to a piece published on March 17 by Popular Science, when the COVID-19 Pandemic is over depends on our actions in the United States.

“Nobody knows what the coming months are going to hold. When asked when life might go back to normal by ABC News on March 15, Fauci stated that it will likely be ‘several weeks to a few months.’ So COVID-19 is going to be with us for a while.”

Today, March 25, we are about 7 months from the November 3, 2020 election, and President Trump has been talking about going back to the way it was to save the economy. In fact, since he made that announcement, the average of all the reputable polls, according to Real Clear Politics, Trump’s unpopularity dropped more than half from a minus 8.5% to a minus 3.5% in a couple of days.


This YouTube video is a news report.

If Trump takes the advice he heard from Tucker Carlson Tonight (to be clear, this Fox show is not news, it is opinion) recently, and is also influenced by the biggest two-or-three day-improvement in his poll numbers, and he decides to go back to normal and let seniors sacrifice themselves as Texas Lt. Governor Dan Patrick (a 69 years old Republican) suggests, then the United States will become the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic and by November the number of deaths in the United States could reach into the millions.


This YouTube video is an Opinion based in the news

How many Americans could die from COVID-19 if Trump decides to return to normal, thinking that will help him win the election in November 2020?

CEBM Research reports that the global prediction interval for deaths from COVID-19 is different for each country and the current death rate runs between 0.51% to 8.32%.

The United States has a population of 331 million. The death rate from COVID-19 depends on what each country is doing to protect its citizens. Until we know what Trump is going to do, we have no idea, how many will die in the US.

If Trump orders a return to normal, the death rate could reach as high as 27.5 million or more.

If Trump actually listens to the experts and takes every precaution possible to protect the population instead of the economy, the death rate could be 1.69 million or even less, a few hundred thousand.

If Trump returns to normal to save the economy, he won’t stand a chance of winning the election in November. And if Trump listens to the experts and keeps the death count down, he still might lose because Trump’s ignorant, super-biased supporters (most of them are told what to think from Fox News and similar misleading and biased media outlets) think it is possible to return to normal and will think he sold them out since they are the ones that improved his poll numbers in the last couple of days by a dramatic margin.

In other words, the odds of Trump winning the election are slim at best no matter what he does. In fact, if Trump orders a return to normal to save the economy and the U.S. becomes the epicenter of the pandemic, the rest of the world might blockade and boycott the U.S. so nothing gets in or out.

What do you think that would do to the U.S. economy before November?

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Lloyd Lofthouse is a former U.S. Marine and Vietnam combat veteran with a BA in journalism and an MFA in writing, who taught in the public schools for thirty years (1975 – 2005).

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